Migration drives Scotland's population growth

Migration  drives Scotland's population growth

Scotland's population is  set to  reach 5.8 million  in the next two  decades, according to new  estimates, thanks to immigration.
A report published by the National Records of Scotland (NRS) suggests that without  migration, Scotland's population would fall, as deaths are  expected to continue to outnumber  births.
The forecast is based on the 2022  census, which  estimated Scotland's population at  5,436,600.
Statisticians predict population  growth of 4.4% in the 10 years from  mid-2022 and a  long-term projection of 6.2%  until 2047.
According to the NRS report,  Scotland's population is  expected to grow at a slower rate than the UK as a  whole. By mid-2047, it is projected to be 76.6 million,  an increase of 13.2% on the 2022  figure.
This means that Scotland's share of the UK population  could fall from 8.1% to 7.6% by 2047.
The 2022 census recorded  Scotland's largest  population ever.
This is an increase of 141,200  people (2.7%) since the previous census in 2011.
However, there  have been more deaths than births  over the decade and without migration the population would have  fallen by  around 49,800 people.
The NRS report also  found that the average age of  Scotland's population is  set to  increase, with the number of people aged 75 and over increasing by 341,300 by  2047. The number of children under 15 is  expected to  decrease by 79,900 by 2047 and the number of young  people (16-29) will  decrease by 57,300.

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