The R minus D early vote deltas in swing states prior to tomorrow are shown below.
Any state that is now leaning R in early voting is quite likely to support Trump because Republican turnout on election day is often far higher than Democratic turnout.
On election day, Pennsylvania, which is still leaning D, has a huge turnout. Trump will win by about 500k votes (a landslide) if the same number of people vote in person for him this time as they did previously.
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