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With the confirmed killing of Yahya Sinwar by Israeli forces on October 16, 2024, Hamas faces a critical juncture in its leadership. Sinwar, a central figure in orchestrating Hamas's military operations, especially the October 7, 2023, attacks on Israel, left a significant vacuum. His death could shift the organization's internal power dynamics. Speculation is rife about possible successors, with two key figures emerging: Khalil al-Hayya, a senior Hamas official known for his political acumen, and Saleh al-Arouri, a key military strategist. Al-Hayya has long been involved in diplomatic and governance roles within Hamas, making him a likely choice for leadership due to his experience and influence. Arouri, on the other hand, is based in Lebanon and heads Hamas's external operations, potentially positioning him as a contender for military-focused leadership, especially in times of heightened conflict.
However, Hamas has yet to officially confirm a new leader. The power struggle will likely intensify as different factions within the group vie for control. With Israel's continued military operations in Gaza and international attention focused on the war, whoever takes the helm will have to navigate both internal divisions and the external pressures mounting against the organization. This period of transition could affect how Hamas operates in the immediate future, possibly leading to a temporary power-sharing arrangement among its senior ranks. How these dynamics unfold will play a crucial role in shaping the trajectory of both the conflict and the group's future.
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